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William Farrar's avatar

Invest in manufacturing, the basis of Trump's tariff policy, clearly a paradox. Tariff's will cost jobs, not create them as Trump has been advised.

Manufacturing went overseas, because NAM and the Chamber of Commerce pushed for it, especially the auto industry. The profit margin of corporations was being pushed by rising variable costs. Variable costs include labor, which in turn raised the price of cars and products to the consumer.

Clinton signed NAFTA and GATT and manufacturing moved to Mexico, much of it has since moved to Asia, as Mexican wages have increased.

It takes years to rebuild a manufacturing base. Old structures need to be plowed under, and new modern structures built, which will be automated and AI driven, about the only jobs created will be temporary construction jobs.

As costs increase, demand goes down, unless the demand for a product is inelastic (the demand for water, air and nutrition are inelastic). in the U.S. the demand for debt appears to be inelastic, especially the use of credit cards.

Jobs will not return, even if manufacturing returns. Ford used to build auto's, from tires to bodies and engines, now it brags on TV that it ASSEMBLES more vehicles than any other company,as the parts come in from contractors and subcontractors all over the world and the country, and most of the assembly is by robots, including things like welding. Tariffs will raise the price of a car, since much is imported.

For the U.S. to become a working man's paradise, blue collar America will have to regress to the 1950's. and that is the wet dream of MAGA and Trump., and an impossibility in the 21st Century, yet they are trying and in the process destroying lives and the very democracy that provided the means to attain the wealth, security and comfort they enjoy..

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Daniel Solomon's avatar

I'm originally from Pennsyltucky, the buckle of the rust belt, 20 miles from Youngstown Ohio, once the 5th largest steel producer in the world. Today, that area produces virtually nothing.

Thom is partly right. I also blame the 1952 tax code, the abuse of capital gains taxes, and the rise of vulture capitalists. Once upon a time, companies prospered if it reinvested and did their own research and development. No more. Companies were incentivized to sell to take capital gains taxes. Companies that off shored production could take a tax deduction to do so.

We also set up competition by our so-called allies. Germany. Japan. South Korea. Even if they assemble procucts in the US, the profits go offshore.

Just yesterday, Trump was back in Pitsburgh, taking credit for the sale of US Steel to the Japanese.

When will we ever learn?

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