How Term Limits Turn Legislatures Over to Lobbyists
The next time you hear some TV pundit proclaiming the “solution” to the “problem” of Mitch McConnell or Dianne Feinstein being in office too long, consider their real agenda...
This week, for the second time in public, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) “froze” for about a half-minute while taking questions from the press. It’s not known how many other times this has happened in more private settings, but twice in a few weeks in public has provoked a conversation about the wisdom of an 81-year-old serving in public office.
Unfortunately, much of the discussion prompted by McConnell’s health issues have focused on term limits, the practice of putting a limit to the number of years or terms a politician may serve in public office.
In just the past 48 hours I’ve heard three different commentators on MSNBC speak of them as if term limits are the “solution” to elderly legislators outstaying the ability of their bodies or minds to do the work.
This is the wrong discussion to have: term limits do more damage than good.
First, term limits shift the balance of power in a legislature from the legislators themselves to lobbyists, which is why corporate-friendly Republicans so often speak fondly of them.
Historically, when a new lawmaker comes into office, he or she will hook up with an old-timer who can show them the ropes, how to get around the building, where the metaphorical bodies are buried, and teach them how to make legislation.
With term limits, this institutional knowledge is largely stripped out of a legislative body, forcing new legislators to look elsewhere for help.
Because no Republican has ever, anywhere, suggested that lobbyists’ ability to work be term-limited, in those states with term limits the lobbyists end up filling the role of permanent infrastructure to mentor and guide new lawmakers.
Of course, lobbyists — and the billionaires and corporations that pay them — love this. It dramatically increases lobbyists’ power and influence, giving them an early and easy entrée into the personal and political lives of the individual legislators who lean on them for guidance.
This simple reality is not lost on the Republican Party, which has been pushing these restrictions on service at the federal and state legislature level for years: term limits been put into law in 16 states, almost all as the result of heavy Republican PR efforts and lobbying during the George HW Bush presidency.
Pappy Bush rolled the idea out in 1990 as a central part of his run for re-election in 1992. An unpopular president who was being blamed by voters for the destruction of unions and factories rapidly moving offshore, his advisors thought it would be a great way to blame Congress for the problems neoliberal Reaganomics had inflicted on the nation.
As The New York Times noted on December 12, 1990:
“President Bush has decided to push for a constitutional amendment to limit the number of terms for members of Congress, his chief of staff, John H. Sununu, said today. Doing so as he prepares for his re-election campaign will put Mr. Bush squarely and publicly on the side of an idea that is as widely popular among voters as it is wildly unpopular among members of Congress…
“But even though passage of such an amendment is unlikely, there is little risk for Mr. Bush in associating himself with this movement. Politically, the move fits nicely with the growing effort by the White House to depict Congress as the source of most of the nation’s problems.”
While the US Congress never seriously took up the idea, Bush’s advocacy of it echoed through the states and was heavily promoted by Rush Limbaugh, whose national hate-radio show had rolled out just two years earlier in 1988.
Newt Gingrich made term limits a cornerstone of his 1994 Contract On America, but the issue died at the federal level in 1995 when the Supreme Court, in U.S. Term Limits, Inc. v. Thornton, ruled term limits imposed on federal officials elected at the state level (the US House and Senate) are unconstitutional.
This doesn’t mean Congress can’t impose term limits on itself; it would just require them to be done as a constitutional amendment or via some other mechanism that gets around the Supreme Court like court-stripping (which, itself, is dicey). Term limits were imposed on the presidency by Congress in 1951, a GOP backlash against FDR’s having won election to four consecutive terms in office, but that took ratification of the 22nd Amendment.
Following Bush’s promotion of them, Oklahoma picked up term limits for its legislature in 1990, with Maine, California, Colorado, Arkansas, Michigan, Florida, Ohio, South Dakota, Montana, Arizona, and Missouri debating them during the 1991 and 1992 legislative sessions and all putting them into law in 1992. Louisiana and Nevada put them into law in 1995 and 1996, respectively, Nebraska in 2000, and North Dakota finally got around to them in 2022.
In every case, term limits have worked to the benefit of special interests and against the interests of the citizens. It’s why rightwing think-tanks push them, like you’ll find in the article “Term Limits: The Only Way to Clean Up Congress” on the Heritage Foundation’s website.
In addition to strengthening the hand of lobbyists, term limits also prevent good people who aren’t independently wealthy from entering politics. What rational person, particularly if they have kids, would take the risk of a job they know will end in six years when instead they could build a career in a field that guarantees them security and a decent retirement?
Also because of this dynamic, term limits encourage legislators to focus on their post-politics career while serving. Many busily legislate favors for particular industries in the hope of being rewarded with a job when they leave office.
Because term limits encourage independently wealthy people to enter politics and push out would-be career politicians like Bernie Sanders or Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, they shift the Overton window of legislatures — regardless of the party in power — to the right.
Probably the strongest argument against term limits, though, is that they’re fundamentally anti-democratic. In fact, we already have term limits: they’re called elections.
The decision about who represents the interests of a particular state or legislative district shouldn’t be held by some abstract law: it should be in the hands of the voters, and term limits deny voters this.
And, because term limits weaken the power of the legislative branch by producing a constant churn, they strengthen the power of the executive branch, a violation of the vital concept of checks-and-balances.
Even where governors or presidents are term-limited by law or constitution, the concentration of power in a single executive is inherently problematic, requiring a robust legislative branch to balance it. Term limits thus neuter a legislature’s ability to mount a muscular challenge to a governor or president.
States that have instituted term limits generally suffer from “buyer’s remorse.” As the Citizens Research Council of Michigan noted in a 2018 report titled Twenty-five Years Later, Term Limits Have Failed to Deliver On Their Promise:
“Legislative term limits in Michigan have failed to achieve their proponents’ stated goals: Ridding government of career politicians, increasing diversity among elected officials, and making elections more competitive.
“Term limits have made state legislators, especially House members, view their time as a stepping stone to another office. Term limits have failed to strengthen ties between legislators and their districts or sever cozy relationships with lobbyists. They have weakened the legislature in its relationship with the executive branch.”
A scholarly study of term limits in Florida similarly concluded:
“The absence of long-serving legislators under term limits equates to a significant loss of experience and institutional memory. … Those who had built a career in the Legislature were not applauded for the expertise they had developed but were castigated…
“After the first full decade with term limitations in place, the Florida Legislature is a dramatically different institution. Term limits increased legislator turnover and drastically affected legislative tenure, all but destroying institutional memory.”
So, the next time you hear some TV pundit proclaiming the “solution” to the “problem” of Mitch McConnell or Dianne Feinstein being in office too long, consider their real agenda.
Unless they’re simply naïve, it’ll almost always be that they are or once were (before Trump) a Republican and just can’t help themselves.
We live in times of absolutely overwhelming complexity. Combined with a disinformation machine that would make Joseph Goebbels faint, our everyday life is anything but easily reconciled.
Term limits make sense on the surface, right? In an ideal world they would provide for fresh thoughts, new practices, and of course - keep the "gubmint bureaucracy" in touch with an ever changing society. Unfortunately, we do not live in an ideal world. Far from it. So we may be wise not to destroy the good in pursuit of the perfect.
At first glance, term limits are probably quite alluring. They would satisfy the constant desire we have for simple solutions. But first we would need a problem to apply this solution to, and that is where we get duped. The "problem", as Thom clearly illustrates, does not exist. In fact, having people with actual experience in governance is far from being a problem - it's something we need. Any other institution on Earth would fail immediately if they imposed "term limits" on their employees, volunteers, board members, etc. It would be an absolute hilarious disaster. So why would we ever want to artificially induce turnover in the most important institution of all - our own representative government?
All I really know for certain is that I certainly don't know much. So that's why I have certain rules for things when I don't have the time to really dig deep on a topic.
My number 1 rule is: Know the source, know the intent.
If something is being championed by Putin, for example, I know to immediately walk away. No matter how appealing this hypothetical thing may be, no matter how practical, no matter what - I know that in the end, it must be self-serving - because of the source. Believe people when they have shown you who they are.
Now, I'm not on the "Blue no matter Who" train. But I'm absolutely positive that "Red equals Dead". They've shown who they are, who they work for, and to what lengths they will go to get what they want. If the GOP is pushing for something - I'm pushing back. I know the source...
That's a good argument, though some decent ones have been made for getting aging and entrenched people out too. But what is too often missed in the discussion is that it doesn't do much good to have somebody leave office if they still pull the reins of power. The most obvious example of this was in 1967 when George Wallace's wife succeeded him as governor of Alabama, though he later served 3 more terms in his own right. This election of a spouse as governor also occurred in Texas back in 1924. For that matter Putin was appointed prime minister of Russia--effectively staying in complete control-- after a two term limit was reached in 2008 (constitutional fiddling allowed him to come back as president).
I am sure there are many other examples with siblings and children succeeding to office, and while sometimes the puppet master can lose control, as happened to Roosevelt with Taft after the 1908 election, keeping someone out of office may be no more than a legal fiction. All this is part of larger questions over who controls legislatures and executive offices, and these issues have been around for a long time. (In the 1952 science-fiction novel "The Space Merchants" senators are directly appointed by corporations. The president is a figurehead.) Drawing Congressional district boundaries on a non-partisan basis is a much better way to get people out of office since that leads to competitive races, but it doesn't happen enough. So clearly term limits aren't a real fix, much as one might wish they were.