I have been VERY concerned about this issue for several years.
Then, earlier this year, I found the arguments of Peter Zeihan, https://www.youtube.com/c/ZeihanonGeopolitics/videos , who I call a "strategic forecaster".
He is very BEARISH about China, even predicting they may break apart by the end of this decade. He says manufacturing is …
He is very BEARISH about China, even predicting they may break apart by the end of this decade. He says manufacturing is quickly coming back to North America out of necessity, due to the collapse of China.
He has several reasons for these predictions. It is better for me to put links here so you can hear them yourself, rather than for me to summarize them in this comment:
I have been VERY concerned about this issue for several years.
Then, earlier this year, I found the arguments of Peter Zeihan, https://www.youtube.com/c/ZeihanonGeopolitics/videos , who I call a "strategic forecaster".
He is very BEARISH about China, even predicting they may break apart by the end of this decade. He says manufacturing is quickly coming back to North America out of necessity, due to the collapse of China.
He has several reasons for these predictions. It is better for me to put links here so you can hear them yourself, rather than for me to summarize them in this comment:
late 2021: Chinese Challenges on the Horizon:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iMgD_iCdcmA&ab_channel=ZeihanonGeopolitics
late 2021: China Demography Update:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KY_zsc0wf1Y&ab_channel=ZeihanonGeopolitics
China, COVID, and Manufacturing - 12/21/2021 :
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Aj00flkpAGw&ab_channel=ZeihanonGeopolitics
China, Oil, and the Ukraine War -Mar 8, 2022 :
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4AZx6gajU1M&ab_channel=ZeihanonGeopolitics
In Shanghai, COVID Rattles the Chinese System -Apr 14, 2022 :
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NsP0RobLqfc&ab_channel=ZeihanonGeopolitics
Tianjin, COVID, and Losing Chinese Labor -May 21, 2022 :
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cRLnFOVGtfg&ab_channel=ZeihanonGeopolitics
China and Taiwan -May 31, 2022 :
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EasV08JkxJk&ab_channel=ZeihanonGeopolitics
Beijing Doubles Down on Zero COVID...and Lockdowns -Jun 28, 2022 :
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PR2jwJF9uB0&ab_channel=ZeihanonGeopolitics
China: Balancing a Floundering Russia and Angry Americans -Sep 17, 2022 :
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VKQQdjtcr2c&ab_channel=ZeihanonGeopolitics