The awareness of climate change and its contributors is building. We are not yet at a tipping point but it is coming. Likely, the tipping point will be in the cost of adaptation--unfortunately a reactive approach. A +5C degree world now seems to be on the near time horizon. That will mean food shortages and the need to adapt to a diet fo…
The awareness of climate change and its contributors is building. We are not yet at a tipping point but it is coming. Likely, the tipping point will be in the cost of adaptation--unfortunately a reactive approach. A +5C degree world now seems to be on the near time horizon. That will mean food shortages and the need to adapt to a diet for a hotter planet. It will mean the inability to insure a home against storms or wildfires and a collapse of the housing market. It will also strike with more pandemics with having to avoid other humans. You covered it well in Last Hours.
Here in Baghdad By the Sea, even the Republicans monitor sea rise, the temperature of the Gulfstream, as well as hurricane frequency. We have had an insurance crisis as long as I have lived here that applies not only to the cost of home owners' insurance, but other lines, even automobile coverage, while our legislature and our current governor are in complete denial.
As El Tipo DeSantis signed a bill that deleted mention of climate change from state law, he did when most of South Florida faced record high temperatures.
" Dangerous heat levels are becoming routine in Florida as state leaders look the other way and do little to combat global warming.
“The heat index rose as high as 109 degrees Fahrenheit in Fort Lauderdale, 107 degrees in Hollywood and Kendall, 105 degrees in Key West and Opa-locka, and 104 degrees in Miami,” WSVN-TV reported."
Although Republican lives may be at risk here in Baghdad By the Sea, they don't blame actors like BIG OIL and give the Fascist Republican state goverfnment a pass.
Try as he might to play the Flawriduh version of King Canute in denial of rising sea levels, salinization and increased temperature. According to scientific data on heat increase, at the current 2 degrees C Florida will have 189 days of heat above 100F by 2050.
The tipping point Dr Doug was 350 ppm, it is now 425 ppm of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, the damage done is irreversible, and yet we keep adding more. the latest estimate is we have until 2054, but estimates keep getting revised downward.
Climate migration is already a river and it will become a flood, overpowering the ability of nation states to not only hold it back, but to absorb the populations and that means starvation, violence, cultural and social decay..
Gaia is doing her thing but constantly inventing virus to throw at us.
We are headed fast towards +5C. The IPCC models are starting to capture the faster inflection. At that temp we are close to massive methane release and the potential of +10C by 2100. That would mean a population decline of mammals around 90% or more. No EV will solve that.
At 5ºC, the biosphere that humans rely upon for survival, will have already collapsed, faltering at 3ºC, and in full collapse at 4ºC. Without a functioning biosphere, humanity will not survive.
Author Jeff Goodell of the NYT premised his book “The Heat Will Kill You First” and Wallace-Wells author of the “Uninhabititle Earth” model to a large degree on a forseeable 4 degree Fahrenheit increase by 2100 as “catastrophic”
4°C temperature rise could shrink the global GDP by over 30%, more than double the economic impact of the Great Depression.
Climate damage could cost the global economy $551 trillion—nearly twice the wealth of the entire world today.
By 2050, 35% of the global population could be exposed to deadly heatwaves annually, compared to just 1% today.
In a 2°C (3.6 degree Fahrenheit) warmer world, regions in the Middle East and South Asia may experience heat levels beyond human survivability for over 500 million people.
The awareness of climate change and its contributors is building. We are not yet at a tipping point but it is coming. Likely, the tipping point will be in the cost of adaptation--unfortunately a reactive approach. A +5C degree world now seems to be on the near time horizon. That will mean food shortages and the need to adapt to a diet for a hotter planet. It will mean the inability to insure a home against storms or wildfires and a collapse of the housing market. It will also strike with more pandemics with having to avoid other humans. You covered it well in Last Hours.
Here in Baghdad By the Sea, even the Republicans monitor sea rise, the temperature of the Gulfstream, as well as hurricane frequency. We have had an insurance crisis as long as I have lived here that applies not only to the cost of home owners' insurance, but other lines, even automobile coverage, while our legislature and our current governor are in complete denial.
As El Tipo DeSantis signed a bill that deleted mention of climate change from state law, he did when most of South Florida faced record high temperatures.
" Dangerous heat levels are becoming routine in Florida as state leaders look the other way and do little to combat global warming.
“The heat index rose as high as 109 degrees Fahrenheit in Fort Lauderdale, 107 degrees in Hollywood and Kendall, 105 degrees in Key West and Opa-locka, and 104 degrees in Miami,” WSVN-TV reported."
Although Republican lives may be at risk here in Baghdad By the Sea, they don't blame actors like BIG OIL and give the Fascist Republican state goverfnment a pass.
We used to think that atomic bombs were the major danger: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OUfUAnqRJTQ
Try as he might to play the Flawriduh version of King Canute in denial of rising sea levels, salinization and increased temperature. According to scientific data on heat increase, at the current 2 degrees C Florida will have 189 days of heat above 100F by 2050.
The tipping point Dr Doug was 350 ppm, it is now 425 ppm of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, the damage done is irreversible, and yet we keep adding more. the latest estimate is we have until 2054, but estimates keep getting revised downward.
Climate migration is already a river and it will become a flood, overpowering the ability of nation states to not only hold it back, but to absorb the populations and that means starvation, violence, cultural and social decay..
Gaia is doing her thing but constantly inventing virus to throw at us.
We are headed fast towards +5C. The IPCC models are starting to capture the faster inflection. At that temp we are close to massive methane release and the potential of +10C by 2100. That would mean a population decline of mammals around 90% or more. No EV will solve that.
At 5ºC, the biosphere that humans rely upon for survival, will have already collapsed, faltering at 3ºC, and in full collapse at 4ºC. Without a functioning biosphere, humanity will not survive.
And then there is the AMOC, we are only 32 years out from the sci fi film The Day After Tomorrow becoming reality https://rickylanusse.substack.com/p/are-we-only-32-years-away-from-the
Author Jeff Goodell of the NYT premised his book “The Heat Will Kill You First” and Wallace-Wells author of the “Uninhabititle Earth” model to a large degree on a forseeable 4 degree Fahrenheit increase by 2100 as “catastrophic”
4°C temperature rise could shrink the global GDP by over 30%, more than double the economic impact of the Great Depression.
Climate damage could cost the global economy $551 trillion—nearly twice the wealth of the entire world today.
By 2050, 35% of the global population could be exposed to deadly heatwaves annually, compared to just 1% today.
In a 2°C (3.6 degree Fahrenheit) warmer world, regions in the Middle East and South Asia may experience heat levels beyond human survivability for over 500 million people.